dimanche 15 février 2026

 

 

The Era of Abundance:

Technological Progress, Social Rupture, and Crisis of Meaning

This title is not the fruit of a nocturnal speculation, but a reflection triggered by concrete statements that are stirring public debate. For example, on a podcast with Peter Diamandis in January 2026, Elon Musk stated that saving for retirement would become pointless within 10-20 years, thanks to an unprecedented abundance propelled by AI, robotics, and renewable energies. Others describe this vision as a "supersonic tsunami" making work optional and poverty obsolete. However, experts qualify this as absurd, and judge it dangerous due to unproven technological leaps.

In my opinion, we are entering a phase of historical rupture. Not just a simple technological evolution, but a profound civilizational shift. In light of converging analyses from artificial intelligence, economics, and recent statements by @elonmusk, one evidence is clear: AI and robotics will not only transform our tools, they will redefine the very foundations of our societies.

The question is no longer whether an era of abundance is possible, but how humanity will navigate this transition—and at what human, social, and philosophical cost.

1.     The End of Scarcity… and the Inversion of Power

For decades, the dominant belief was that automation would first replace manual labor before reaching intellectual functions later. This view, inherited from past industrial revolutions, is now contradicted by the facts.

AI primarily targets positions with high leverage: executives, analysts, consultants, coordination and decision-making roles. A single automated strategic decision can generate more value—or savings—than hundreds of low-wage jobs.

This results in an unprecedented inversion: · the top is weakened before the base; · hierarchies become unstable before manual labor; · scarcity no longer concerns intelligence, but judgment and the ability to give meaning.

This phenomenon is neither ideological nor circumstantial. It is structural.

2.     The End of Cognitive Scarcity

This inversion of power is explained by a deeper change: the gradual disappearance of cognitive scarcity.

For centuries, institutions—schools, diplomas, bureaucracies—have served to organize access to limited and unevenly distributed intelligence. Today, AI makes this intelligence abundant, accessible, and reproducible on a large scale.

In this new context: · diplomas lose their signaling value; · experience becomes obsolete faster than ever; · authority can no longer rely solely on status or seniority.

This does not make humans obsolete. But it means that simply knowing is no longer enough.

Concrete example: where a financial analyst once derived value from their ability to produce complex reports, AI can now generate these analyses in seconds. The human value then shifts toward the ability to ask the right questions, interpret results in a political, social, or ethical context, and assume responsibility for the decisions made.

Value thus shifts from knowledge to discernment, from execution to orientation, from competence to wisdom. This is exactly the subject of the author's book: The Operational Art: Salvation in the Face of AI.

3.     Technological Abundance, Social Fragility

On the technical level, radical abundance is plausible: energy abundance, humanoid robots, goods and services at near-zero marginal cost, multiplied productivity.

AI, combined with robotics and massive energy production, can significantly reduce material scarcity.

But history teaches us a constant lesson: every technological revolution first creates a misalignment.

·         technology progresses exponentially;

·         institutions evolve slowly, hindered by law, regulation, and political inertia;

·         human culture changes even more slowly, as it touches on identity, values, and meaning.

This gap—already observed during the industrial revolution—is now accentuated by the unprecedented speed of technological progress.

The real danger is therefore not unemployment itself, but societies' inability to absorb the identity shock.

When work, which structured social recognition and self-esteem, disappears faster than new symbolic benchmarks emerge, social cohesion erodes.

4.     The Trap of Abundance Without Meaning

A society where:

·         survival is guaranteed;

·         work becomes optional;

·         intelligence is outsourced;

…must confront a fundamental question: what is the purpose of human beings?

Material abundance guarantees neither fulfillment nor stability. Without a collective project, shared responsibility, or symbolic horizon, it can produce boredom, nihilism, and deep social tensions.

The challenge of the 21st century is therefore not solely technological or economic. It is philosophical and civilizational.

5.     Toward a New Social Contract

The old implicit contract · Work → Income → Dignity is cracking.

The emerging contract must be founded on other pillars:

·         guaranteed material security, ensuring dignity independent of employment;

·         voluntary contribution, where social utility is no longer measured solely in hours of work, but in creation, transmission, and engagement;

·         social status based on responsibility, creativity, reliability, and the ability to give meaning to collective choices.

In this world, humans will not compete with AI on efficiency or speed, but on values, ethics, and the direction given to progress.

Conclusion: Neither Utopia Nor Dystopia

The future unfolding is neither automatically that of Star Trek nor inevitably that of Terminator. It will be an amplified reflection of what our societies already are.

·         Organized societies will become extraordinarily capable.

·         Fragmented societies will become unstable.

·         Moral clarity will matter more than raw intelligence.

The era of abundance is possible. But it will be neither automatic, nor equitable, nor painless.

The question is no longer whether AI will change everything—it already has.

The only open question is whether humanity will develop the wisdom necessary to control and coexist with—and without suffering—its most powerful creation.

While Elon Musk and many experts evoke a rupture horizon between 10 and 20 years, the reality of human and institutional resistance to change suggests a different timeline. A horizon of 20 to 30 years seems more plausible for our social structures and psyches to truly absorb this civilizational shock. The countdown to build this wisdom is therefore underway.

Discover the author's work: Operational Art: The Salvation Against AI

dafirmus.gumroad.com/l/fciiam

#AI #Abundance #FutureOfWork #ElonMusk #ArtificialIntelligence #SocialRupture #CrisisOfMeaning #Technology #Philosophy #NewSocialContract

@elonmusk @xAI @OpenAI @GoogleDeepMind @AndrewYang @YuvalNoahHarari @timnitGebru @dafirmus

References

 

1.      Podcast "Moonshots with Peter Diamandis" (January 2026) – Elon Musk's statement on abundance and retirement.

2.      Fortune.com – Description of Musk's vision as a "supersonic tsunami".

3.      BusinessInsider.com – Analysis on resource abundance thanks to AI.

4.      TheStreet.com – Critics like Alicia Munnell calling the vision "nonsense".

5.      Pionline.com (Pensions & Investments) – Warnings on retirement risks.

6.      Moneywise.com – Labeling Musk's advice as "dangerous" due to technological speculations.

7.      Gizmodo.com – Skepticism on Musk's timelines and his interests in AI.

8.      M.economictimes.com – Allure of "universal high income" and associated risks.

9.      MarketRealist.com – Recognition of attractions but stress on hypothetical risks.

10.  Ktla.com – Experts qualifying Musk's advice as "terrible advice" in the face of uncertainties.

 

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